U.S. Housing Stability Intelligence
City Profile
Rafael Pena profile describes structural housing sustainability conditions for local residents using standardized national methodology.
Housing Stability Score
62
/100
2024 Score Edition • Higher is stronger
Score snapshot: 2024-12-30 · Method: v3-2024-refresh-explainability
Score provenance: mixed inputs · 5/10 direct local ACS baseline inputs
Major-city ranking: not ranked until all 10 direct local baseline inputs are available.
Housing-first durability lens
Trend Direction
Improving
Trend direction compares this snapshot with the prior published score; movement within three points is treated as stable.
September 2026 Conditions Edition
Loading the published county observations.
Media Summary
Rafael Pena, TX has a 62 / 100 Housing Stability Score with a improving trend signal in the 2024 Score Edition (score date 2024-12-30; method v3-2024-refresh-explainability). The score is a structural housing sustainability measure, not a forecast of future prices.
Citation Language
Rafael Pena, TX has a 62/100 Housing Stability Score (strong) in the 2024 Score Edition (score date 2024-12-30; method v3-2024-refresh-explainability), 62/100 national percentile, and +3 point change versus the prior published snapshot.
Housing Stability Score
62
Strong relative housing sustainability score on a 0-100 scale in the 2024 Score Edition (score date 2024-12-30).
Full City Rank
#11,885 of 30,973
Full national coverage rank across the city index. Same-state full rank: #519 of 1,836.
Score Movement
+3
Point change versus the prior published score snapshot in the 2024 Score Edition.
Leading Signal
Market Volatility
Highest component score in the four-part housing stability framework.
These drivers summarize the main score movement, strongest support, and clearest pressure point for this location.
Score Driver
The composite score improved by 3 points versus the prior published snapshot, enough to mark the trend as improving.
Component Driver
Market volatility is the strongest component at 94 / 100, so it contributes the most support to the current housing stability score.
Component Driver
Ownership sustainability is the main constraint at 26 / 100, so users should read that component as the clearest pressure point in this location.
Score Driver
This score uses 5 observed local inputs and 4 inherited county inputs out of 14 model inputs; 5 inputs are filled from comparable benchmarks when direct observations are unavailable.
Every location includes standardized component evaluation so cross-location comparison stays structurally consistent.
Affordability Stability
Evaluates whether housing costs align sustainably with local income over time using rent burden, price-to-income, and cost growth relative to wages.
Component Score: 50 / 100
State: 46 / 100 percentile (mid-range relative stability)
National: 50 / 100 percentile (mid-range relative stability)
Market Volatility
Measures housing price consistency and resistance to boom-and-bust cycles that can destabilize long-term resident outcomes.
Component Score: 94 / 100
State: 85 / 100 percentile (very strong relative stability)
National: 94 / 100 percentile (very strong relative stability)
Supply Pressure
Tracks whether housing availability keeps pace with demand through inventory, construction pace, and local supply balance conditions.
Component Score: 59 / 100
State: 80 / 100 percentile (very strong relative stability)
National: 59 / 100 percentile (mid-range relative stability)
Ownership Sustainability
Assesses long-term ownership viability through expense escalation, tax burden pressure, insurance overlap, and distress indicators.
State Comparison
State benchmark: 72 / 100 percentile (higher is more stable), placing this location above most comparable places in this state.
National Comparison
National benchmark: 62 / 100 percentile (higher is more stable), placing this location above most comparable places nationwide.
Scoring uses public, reproducible county-level datasets including ACS, BLS LAUS, FHFA HPI, and Census housing estimates, applied through the same framework across affordability stability, market volatility, supply pressure, and ownership sustainability.
2024 Score Edition • Score snapshot: 2024-12-30 • Method: v3-2024-refresh-explainability
The September 2026 conditions edition provides separate current observations. A future score edition will be published only after a complete, documented methodology refresh.
City coverage combines local city observations with county-level inherited signals when direct city series are unavailable.
Observed Local
5
Inherited Inputs
4
Imputed Inputs
5
Coverage Share
64.3%
Total model inputs in the published score: 14
Component Score: 26 / 100
State: 22 / 100 percentile (below-average relative stability)
National: 26 / 100 percentile (below-average relative stability)
September 2026 Conditions Edition
These four source-backed observations are current conditions context. They do not create a new score, change a ranking, or forecast a housing market.
Starr County county-level context
These are county-level observations for Starr County, shown as context for Rafael Pena. They are not city measurements.
Coverage: rent 1/1, house prices 1/1, housing stock 1/1, permits 1/1 county.
Rent benchmark
$1,014
+41 (+4.2%) from the prior benchmark.
FY 2027 HUD FMR · 1/1 county coverage
House-price movement
+21.3%
Annual county movement; it does not forecast future prices.
2025 FHFA county HPI annual change · 1/1 county coverage
Housing stock
+1.4%
+1.4% housing stock and +0.7% population from 2020 to 2025.
2020–2025 Census Vintage · 1/1 county coverage
Permitted units
0
0 estimated permitted units in 2025; permits are not completed homes.
2025 Census BPS annual estimated units · 1/1 county coverage